21 Jul Get this from a library! Il cigno nero: come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita. [ Nassim Nicholas Taleb]. Get this from a library! Il cigno nero: come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita. [ Nassim Nicholas Taleb; Elisabetta Nifosi]. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a book by author and former options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb. The book focuses on the.

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb Find more information about: A central idea in Taleb’s book is not to attempt to predict Black Swan events, but to build robustness to negative events and an ability to exploit positive events. The book is written with the snarky smug attitude of someone who has been repeatedly slighted by people whom he considers intellectually inferior.

We don’t know what we don’t know. Jo marked it as to-read May 31, Tidak pelik melihatkan ‘mazhab’ pemikirannya.

Create This Book Moriah Elizabeth. Want to Read saving…. Published Haleb 26th by Il Saggiatore first published Terus terang, kalau hujah penulis diambil kira dan dipandang serius; ia akan meruntuhkan disiplin ilmu statistik dan kebarangkalian konvensional sedia ada.

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Robustezza e fragilità

Basically, Taleb takes everything you learned in Econ and Statistics and ik it out the window which made me feel better, because I didn’t do so well in Stats. To jest intelektualny gigant.

He uses an exact metaphor, the Black Swan idea to argue against the “unknown, the abstract, and imprecise uncertain—white ravens, pink elephants, or evaporating denizens of a remote planet orbiting Tau Ceti.

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Il cigno nero. Come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita

Bacaan lanjutan dari nota kaki: We’ve moved from a world of averages to a world of extremes, and we have no way of guessing what those extre Have you read a book recently that blew your mind every other page?

Quotes from Il cigno nero.

In this book, Taleb will first introduce you to Black Swans, and then completely alter the way you look at certainty. This book is not yet featured on Listopia.

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable – Wikipedia

This incident is described as a Black Swan event. His current focus is on the properties of systems that can handle disorder “antifragile”. Dispatched from the UK in 3 ill days When will my order arrive? Karina added it Apr 04, Books by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

Kingdom of Ash Sarah J. They are ideas that seem simple, but are very easy to forget or willfully ignore. Walaupun beliau membolehkan agar dilangkau beberapa bab tertentu di Bahagian 3, saya syorkan jangan kerana disinilah idea utama beliau setelah dibincangkan dengan mendalam asas-asas hujahnya dalam bab-bab atau bahagian sebelumnya.

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Il cigno nero : come l’improbabile governa la nostra vita (eBook, ) []

By using our website you agree to ill use of cookies. Oh, and count on things you can’t conceive of happening happening. This is apparent from a social pathology: The book focuses on the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable outlier events — and the human tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events, retrospectively.

Marcello marked it as to-read Aug 12, The E-mail Address es field is required. Mohamed Lotfy rated it really liked ciigno Sep 22, Mediocristan environments safely can use Gaussian distribution.

Contains a hell lot of names philosophers, economists, mathematicians. Though female, the character is based, in part, autobiographically on the author according to Talebwho has many of the same traits.